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Monday, February 20, 2012

Personal Spring 2012 Severe Weather Forecasts

Galena, Illinois
Tornado Risk: 20%
Hail Risk: 65%
Damaging Wind Risk: 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 35%

Maple Park, Illinois
Tornado Risk: 20%
Hail Risk: 65%
Damaging Wind Risk: 70%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 35%

Hamilton, Ontario
Tornado Risk: 10%
Hail Risk: 45%
Damaging Wind Risk: 65%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 25%

Belvidere, Illinois
Tornado Risk: 20%
Hail Risk: 65%
Damaging Wind Risk: 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 35%

Des Moines, Iowa
Tornado Risk: 30%
Hail Risk: 70%
Damaging Wind Risk: 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 40%

Milan, Tennessee
Tornado Risk: 40%
Hail Risk: 80%
Damaging Wind Risk: 80%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: Up to 50%

Linden, Virginia
Tornado Risk: 15%
Hail Risk: 55%
Damaging Wind Risk: 70%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 30%

Shady Spring, West Virginia
Tornado Risk: 15%
Hail Risk: 60%
Damaging Wind Risk: 70%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 30%

Holmesville, Ohio
Tornado Risk: 35%
Hail Risk: 70%
Damaging Wind Risk: 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 35%

Wappingers Falls, New York
Tornado Risk: 25%
Hail Risk: 65%
Damaging Wind Risk: 70%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: Up to 30%

Cincinnati, Ohio
Tornado Risk: 30%
Hail Risk: 70%
Damaging Wind Risk: About 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: Up to 35%

Toledo, Ohio
Tornado Risk: 30%
Hail Risk: 70%
Damaging Wind Risk: 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: Up to 35%

Homer, Michigan
Tornado Risk: Up to 30%
Hail Risk: 70%
Damaging Wind Risk: Up to 80%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 30%

Valparaiso, Indiana
Tornado Risk: 30%
Hail Risk: 75%
Damaging Wind Risk: 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: Up to 35%

Senatobia, Mississippi
Tornado Risk: 50%
Hail Risk: 85%
Damaging Wind Risk: 90%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 50%

Grand Rapids, Michigan
Tornado Risk: 30%
Hail Risk: 75%
Damaging Wind Risk: 80%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 30%

Kansas City, Missouri
Tornado Risk: 40%
Hail Risk: 80%
Damaging Wind Risk: 80%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: Up to 40%

Atlanta, Georgia
Tornado Risk: 45%
Hail Risk: 85%
Damaging Wind Risk: Up to 90%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 45%

Detroit, Michigan
Tornado Risk: 35%
Hail Risk: 70%
Damaging Wind Risk: 70%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 35%

Fort Wayne, Indiana
Tornado Risk: Up to 40%
Hail Risk: 75%
Damaging Wind Risk: 80%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 40%

Antwerp, Ohio
Tornado Risk: 40%
Hail Risk: 75%
Damaging Wind Risk: 80%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 40%

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Tornado Risk: 35%
Hail Risk: 65%
Damaging Wind Risk: 65%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 30%

Sterling, Illinois
Tornado Risk: 40%
Hail Risk: Up to 75%
Damaging Wind Risk: 75%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 35%

Brighton, Michigan
Tornado Risk: 35%
Hail Risk: 70%
Damaging Wind Risk: 70%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 35%

Mt. Shasta, California*
Tornado Risk: 10%
Hail Risk: 55%
Damaging Wind Risk: 65%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 10%
*Mountain severe weather is much harder to predict, so take this with a grain of salt.

Manhattan, Kansas
Tornado Risk: 55%
Hail Risk: 90%
Damaging Wind Risk: 95%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: Up to 60%

Bethel, Connecticut
Tornado Risk: 25%
Hail Risk: 50%
Damaging Wind Risk: Up to 60%
Severe Weather Outbreak Risk: 20%

These are all estimates based on historical severe weather and ENSO conditions.

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